Politics

Lok Sabha Elections 2024: Exit Polls Live Best Updates

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CodeWithIndia Update Desk “Lok Sabha Elections 2024: PM Modi By Ankit Shukla, 01-06-2024

BJP vs INDIA: What’s the Public Mood?


Lok Sabha Elections 2024

As the Lok Sabha elections 2024 come to a close, the nation eagerly awaits the exit poll predictions. Prime Minister Narendra Modi is vying for a third term, while Congress leader Rahul Gandhi, representing the INDIA bloc, hopes to lead a strong opposition comeback.

What are Exit Polls?

Exit polls are surveys conducted immediately after voting ends. They aim to predict which party or coalition is likely to win based on voter feedback. However, it’s important to note that these are not the official results. The actual outcomes will be announced by the Election Commission of India on June 4, 2024.

Key Dates and Phases

  • Voting Phases: The elections were held in seven phases from April 17 to June 1.
  • Results Announcement: The official results will be declared on June 4, 2024.

Exit Poll Release Time

The exit polls will be released after 6:30 PM on June 1, as per the Election Commission’s regulations.

Historical Accuracy of Exit Polls

  • 2019 Elections: Exit polls predicted around 285 seats for the NDA. The NDA won 353 seats, with BJP securing 303 seats alone.
  • 2014 Elections: Exit polls estimated 257-340 seats for the NDA, which ended up winning 336 seats.

Predictions from Pollsters

Various agencies, including India Today-Axis My India, Chanakya, Times Now-ETG, C-Voter, and CSDS-Lokniti, will release their predictions. These polls will provide an early glimpse into the likely outcome of the elections.

Key Highlights and Statements

  • Pawan Khera (Congress): Criticized Home Minister Amit Shah over his remarks on Congress boycotting exit poll debates, stating, “You celebrate on the 1st. We will celebrate on the 4th.”
  • Manoj Jha (RJD): Asserted that despite any “sponsored” exit polls, the INDIA alliance will be strong in forming the next government.
  • Akhilesh Yadav (SP): Urged party workers to stay vigilant and not be swayed by misleading exit polls predicting a BJP win.

Exit Polls vs Actual Results

Exit polls often provide a preliminary sense of public sentiment but are not always accurate. Factors such as sample size, survey methods, and timing can affect their accuracy. For instance, in 2019, India Today-Axis My India and Today’s Chanakya had predictions closest to the actual results.

Importance of Winning 272 Seats

To form a government, a party or coalition needs at least 272 out of 543 Lok Sabha seats. The BJP-led NDA aims for a third consecutive term, while the INDIA bloc seeks to challenge the incumbents.

Assembly Elections

Simultaneously, assembly elections were held in Odisha, Andhra Pradesh, Arunachal Pradesh, and Sikkim. The results for these will be announced on June 2 and June 4, 2024.

Where to Watch

You can follow the live updates on various news channels and social media platforms. Major pollsters will share their exit poll results post 6:30 PM on June 1.

Final Thoughts

While exit polls give an early indication of the election trends, the real picture will emerge on June 4. Stay tuned to reliable sources for accurate updates and detailed analyses of the results.

Stay updated with the latest developments on the Lok Sabha Elections 2024 through this live blog and other credible news outlets. The political landscape of India is on the brink of potentially significant changes, and the coming days will be crucial in shaping the future government.

codewithindia.com

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